Petukhov Vladimir

RUSSIAN SOCIETY – 2020: EXPERT IMAGE OF THE FUTURE

The material published here represents a shorter version of the analytical report about the results of a survey of experts in the framework of expert scenario forecasting monitoring “Russia 2020”, carried out in July-October, 2015, by the Institute of Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) and the ZIRCON Research group. The methodology of the study is based on the technology of expert scenario forecasting monitoring developed in the early 1990s by the experts from the Institute of Sociology and the ZIRCON Research group. This technology repeatedly demonstrated its great efficiency in predicting the development of the country under the conditions of high uncertainty. I.Zadorin, D.Maltsev and V.Petukhov participated in preparing the report. E.Khalkina took part in organizing and conducting the expert survey.

DOI: 10.30570/2078-5089-2016-81-2-124-157

Dynamics of political preferences.

The empirical base of the article is the results of all Russian sociological surveys held in 1999, 2003 and 2006. The author finds evident ideological and political differences in the different groups of the urban middle class and attempts to reveal some of their typical features. This is low interest to politics, evident orientation to private interests, individual self-realization conformism and neutral and estranged attitude to the power. In spite of the left trends in the Russian society the number of the adherents of communist and other left ideas is on the decrease in the urban middle class. At the same time the liberal idea adherents do not find any adequate carriers of this ideology in the political environment.

DOI: 10.30570/2078-5089-2007-44-1-96-111